Prediction Disclaimer: Election odds, winning probabilities, projections and analytical estimates displayed by ZDN-Votes are statistical estimates based on available data and should not be interpreted as official election results or guarantees of electoral outcomes.
| Rank | #1 |
|---|
| Confidence | High |
|---|
| Model | Default Weighted Model |
|---|
| Version | v2 |
|---|
Factors
| Factor | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|
| Polling |
30.167 |
0.400 |
12.067 |
| Historical |
41.250 |
0.200 |
8.250 |
| Trend |
37.000 |
0.150 |
5.550 |
| Geographic |
0.000 |
0.150 |
0.000 |
| Popularity |
29.133 |
0.100 |
2.913 |